(Cross-posted from HuntingtonNews.net.)

Raese Calls Rasmussen Poll “Quite Encouraging”
GOP Challenger leading by 12 points among Independents

It’s a double digit lead, but Republican U.S. Senate candidate John Raese sees potential in the new Rasmussen poll out Friday that shows Joe Manchin with a 16 point advantage out of the starting gate.

“The fact that we’ve got a 12 point lead among the growing Independent vote was what struck me,” said Raese, a former State GOP Chairman. “We didn’t expect to be in single digits against the Governor yet. After all, I just filed on Thursday. But the Independent voters’ support–now that was a pleasant development and I’m grateful to have it.”

In a close race, West Virginia’s Independent voters can make the difference, whether in a primary or a general election. Independents are now allowed to vote in either party’s primary. And Independents are a growing part of the electorate. For example, Kanawha County alone has over 10,000 registered Independents.

“What Raese has to do now is to get some more people to identify him with their discontent with the status quo in D.C.,” said Jack Ellis, a Putnam County political consultant who has worked with both Republican and Democratic candidates in West Virginia.

“All you have to do is look at the number of “red counties” that went Republican in the 2008 election to see what Raese’s thinking,” said Ellis. “McCain/Palin won 48 out of 55 counties including the powerhouse counties of Kanawha, Putnam, Cabell, Wood, Berkeley, Ohio, Raleigh, and Mercer. That’s pretty huge, and Raese is clearly wanting to stoke those same coals this year.”

Raese faces nine lesser known Republicans including former First District Congressional candidate Mac Warner in his GOP Primary. Manchin faces former Monongalia County Delegate Sheirl Fletcher and former Secretary of State Ken Hechler in his Democratic Primary.

Both Special Election primaries are on a truncated schedule and will be held on August 28, a Saturday. The Special Election General Election will follow a little over two months later on the same date as the Regular General Election, November 2nd, a Tuesday.

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